The State of Louisiana tried Ricky Langley three times for the same killing. At the second trial, the jury acquitted Langley of first degree murder, relevantly defined as (1) killing a human being (2) with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm (3) where the victim was under twelve. See La. R.S. 14:30(A)(5). Langley's attorneys had conceded the first and third elements, but disputed the second;
*508they argued that Langley was mentally incapable of forming the requisite intent. Years later, at the third trial, and over a double jeopardy objection, the State re-tried Langley for the lesser included offense of second degree murder, defined as (1) killing a human being (2) with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. See La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1). This time, the State secured a conviction. Langley now petitions for a writ of habeas corpus, arguing that his conviction violated the issue-preclusion component of the Double Jeopardy Clause. See Ashe v. Swenson , 397 U.S. 436, 443-46, 90 S.Ct. 1189, 25 L.Ed.2d 469 (1970).
The Double Jeopardy Clause, made applicable to the states by the Fourteenth Amendment, guarantees that "[n]o person shall ... be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb." U.S. Const. amend. V ; accord Benton v. Maryland , 395 U.S. 784, 787, 89 S.Ct. 2056, 23 L.Ed.2d 707 (1969). This language embodies an idea "deeply ingrained" in Anglo-American jurisprudence: "that the State with all its resources and power should not be allowed to make repeated attempts to convict an individual for an alleged offense." Green v. United States , 355 U.S. 184, 187, 78 S.Ct. 221, 2 L.Ed.2d 199 (1957). To that end, the Double Jeopardy Clause requires that acquittals be final-no matter how legally or factually erroneous they may appear to be. E.g. , United States v. DiFrancesco , 449 U.S. 117, 129-30, 101 S.Ct. 426, 66 L.Ed.2d 328 (1980) ; Fong Foo v. United States , 369 U.S. 141, 143, 82 S.Ct. 671, 7 L.Ed.2d 629 (1962). Once an acquittal is rendered, the State may not re-prosecute the defendant for the same crime. E.g. , Green , 355 U.S. at 188, 78 S.Ct. 221. And importantly here, neither may the State prosecute the defendant for even a different crime, if that crime has as an essential element an issue necessarily determined by the acquitting jury's verdict. Ashe , 397 U.S. at 443-46, 90 S.Ct. 1189.
In this case, the verdict from Langley's second trial necessarily determined that the State failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley acted with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. Hence, the State is constitutionally barred from prosecuting Langley for any crime having that same issue as an essential element. Langley's second-degree-murder conviction from his third trial is therefore invalid. We accordingly REVERSE the district court's dismissal of Langley's habeas petition and REMAND with directions to issue the writ. There may well be crimes for which the State can constitutionally prosecute Langley in connection with the horrific facts of this case. But under clearly established Supreme Court precedent, second degree murder as defined in La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1) cannot reasonably be one of them.
I
The facts are heartrending. Six-year-old J.G. went missing on February 7, 1992. Officers soon arrested Langley, who was then twenty-six years old. Once inside the police cruiser, Langley admitted to killing the young boy and leaving the body in his closet. He described how he rented a room from a family with two children; how J.G. came to the house looking to play with one of those children; how Langley followed J.G. inside; and how Langley strangled J.G. to death. He then gave the officers a videotaped tour of the house, recounting the events in a calm and neutral voice that one witness described as having "no register whatsoever of horror, shame, [or] anxiety." When an officer asked Langley why he had done it, Langley shook his head and answered: "I couldn't tell you. I still go through my mind trying to figure it out.
*509It's like, I know I did it, but yet it's like something you read in a newspaper."
Langley later gave two more custodial videotaped confessions. His confessions gave differing stories, however, as to whether he also beckoned J.G. inside the house; as to whether he abused J.G. sexually; and as to whether any such abuse took place before or after the strangling.
A
The first trial took place in July 1994. A grand jury charged Langley with first degree murder; a petite jury convicted him; and a judge sentenced him to death. Those proceedings were set aside, however, after a finding that the judge presiding over the grand jury had selected the foreperson on the basis of race. See generally State v. Langley (Langley II) , 813 So.2d 356, 359-65, 373 (La. 2002) (applying Campbell v. Louisiana , 523 U.S. 392, 396-97, 118 S.Ct. 1419, 140 L.Ed.2d 551 (1998) ). Neither party contends that this now-vacated conviction carries double jeopardy consequences. See generally Burks v. United States , 437 U.S. 1, 13, 16, 98 S.Ct. 2141, 57 L.Ed.2d 1 (1978).
B
The second trial-the one most relevant here-took place in May 2003. The State re-indicted Langley on the same first-degree-murder charge, and again sought the death penalty. Langley pleaded not guilty and not guilty by reason of insanity. See La. Code Crim. Proc. Ann. art. 552(3).
In arguments to the jury, defense counsel repeatedly emphasized that they were not contesting that Langley had killed J.G. The defense likewise conceded to the jury that J.G. had been under the age of twelve.
Instead, the defense's closing argument contested primarily two issues. First, defense attorney Phyllis Mann argued that the State had failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley acted with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. The core of the argument was that Langley could not have formed the requisite intent because his mental illness prevented him from understanding and intending the consequences of his actions. Second, defense attorney Clive Smith argued separately that Langley had proved his insanity defense by a preponderance of the evidence. Both arguments turned in part on the same evidence of Langley's mental illness.1 But Langley's attorneys were careful to delineate the two theories-explaining that they involved different substantive standards, required different degrees of persuasion, and placed the burden of proof on different parties.
As would become relevant on appeal, the judge presiding over Langley's second trial left the courtroom for significant portions of the proceedings, cut off the defense's closing argument early, refused to entertain *510certain contemporaneous objections, and by and large "failed to maintain order and decorum" in the courtroom. See generally State v. Langley (Langley III) , 896 So.2d 200, 203-07 (La. Ct. App. 2004).
The judge did, however, give the following jury instructions:
First, the judge defined first degree murder. First degree murder in Louisiana consists of (1) killing a human being (2) with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm (3) with one or more aggravating factors. See La. R.S. 14:30(A). Here, the State chose to rely on two possible aggravators: either (a) that Langley was committing or attempting second degree kidnapping, see id. 14:30(A)(1); or (b) that J.G. was less than twelve years old, see id. 14:30(A)(5).2 The judge accordingly defined first degree murder as requiring proof of those elements beyond a reasonable doubt. The judge then defined specific intent:
Specific criminal intent is that state of mind which exists when the circumstances indicate that a defendant actively desired the prescribed criminal consequences to follow his act or failure to act.
And the judge told the jury: "[I]f you are convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that [Langley] is guilty of first degree murder, your verdict should be 'guilty.' "
Second, the judge instructed the jury, "If you are not convinced that [Langley] is guilty of the offense charged, you may find [him] guilty of a lesser offense," including second degree murder. See La. Code Crim. Proc. Ann. art. 804(B). Second degree murder in Louisiana is defined in the alternative. As relevant here, it consists of either: (1) killing a human being (2) with specific intent to kill or inflict great bodily harm ("specific-intent second degree murder"), see La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1) ; or (1) killing a human being (2) while committing or attempting certain enumerated felonies ("second degree felony murder"), see id. 14:30.1(A)(2).3 The judge instructed the *511jury as to both types.4 With respect to specific-intent second degree murder, the judge gave no definition of "specific intent" other than the one quoted above.5 With respect to second degree felony murder, the judge instructed the jury that the relevant felonies were second degree kidnapping, see id. 14:44.1,6 and cruelty to juveniles, see id. 14:93.7 The judge then told the jury: "If you are not convinced that [Langley] is guilty of first degree murder, but you are convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that [he] is guilty of second degree murder, the form of your verdict should be 'guilty of second degree murder.' " (emphasis added).
Finally, the judge instructed the jury on the insanity defense. He explained that "[Langley] has the burden of proving his insanity at the time of the commission of the offense by a preponderance of the evidence." He then defined insanity:
[Langley was insane at the time of the commission of the offense] if the circumstances indicate that because of his mental disease or mental defect the defendant was incapable of distinguishing between right and wrong with reference to the conduct in question ....
And he instructed that, if the jury found that the State had proved Langley's guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, but also found that Langley established his insanity defense, the verdict "must be 'not guilty by reason of insanity.' "
The verdict form listed the possible responsive verdicts- "guilty," "guilty of second degree murder," "guilty of manslaughter," "not guilty by reason of insanity," and "not guilty"-and instructed the jury to return exactly one of them. See La. Code Crim. Proc. Ann. arts. 809, 814(A)(1), 816. During deliberations, the jury requested a written list of elements for each responsive verdict, and a clarification of the phrase "great bodily harm" in the specific-intent requirement. The judge provided the first requested item, but not the second.
The jury returned a verdict finding Langley guilty of second degree murder and, by implication from the verdict form and the judge's instructions, acquitting him of first degree murder.8
*512C
Langley appealed his second-degree-murder conviction, and the Louisiana Third Circuit Court of Appeal reversed and remanded for a new trial. Langley III , 896 So.2d at 212. The Third Circuit first held that the trial judge's misconduct amounted to structural error warranting reversal with no showing of prejudice necessary. Id. at 207-10. Then, reasoning that the verdict was "an absolute nullity," the Third Circuit opined that Langley could be re-tried even for first degree murder-notwithstanding his recent acquittal. Id. at 210-12.
On remand, the defense moved to quash the first degree murder charge, citing Fong Foo , 369 U.S. at 143, 82 S.Ct. 671, and Green , 355 U.S. at 188-91, 78 S.Ct. 221, on the ground that Langley had just been acquitted of that exact crime. The trial court (this time a new judge) granted the motion, ordering that the re-trial be limited to second degree murder. The State sought interlocutory review, and the Third Circuit summarily reversed.
Granting certiorari, the Louisiana Supreme Court reversed the Third Circuit, reinstated the trial judge's order, and quashed the first degree murder charge. State v. Langley (Langley IV) , 958 So.2d 1160, 1169-70 (La.) (citing Green , 355 U.S. at 188, 78 S.Ct. 221 ), cert. denied , 552 U.S. 1007, 128 S.Ct. 493, 169 L.Ed.2d 368 (2007). The opinion held that Langley's second-degree-murder conviction operated as an implied acquittal of first degree murder. Id. at 1170. That was so both because the jury instructions required the jury to acquit on first degree murder before considering second, see id. at 1169-70, and because Louisiana law provides that "[w]hen a person is found guilty of a lesser degree of the offense charged, the verdict ... is an acquittal of all greater offenses charged in the indictment," id. at 1170 (quoting La. Code Crim. Proc. Ann. art. 598(A) ).
D
The third trial took place in November 2009, with Langley now represented by his present-day counsel. Langley waived his right to a jury and proceeded via bench trial.
On day one of trial, the State orally moved to amend the indictment to reflect that only second degree murder was being charged. Langley's counsel agreed that the indictment should be amended, but also argued that the new indictment must be limited to felony murder-raising the Ashe issue for the first time.9 Specifically, Langley's counsel contended (and continues to contend today) that no rational jury could have returned the 2003 verdict without deciding that the State failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley had specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. Thus, Langley's counsel argued, the State could not charge Langley with any crime requiring proof of that same element, including the crime of specific-intent second degree murder under La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1). See Ashe , 397 U.S. at 443-46, 90 S.Ct. 1189. The court granted the State's motion and denied Langley's *513from the bench.10 The indictment was formally amended to reflect charges for second degree murder under both La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1) (specific intent) and La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(2) (felony murder).
The next morning, however, the State orally dismissed the felony murder charge, leaving only the charge of second degree murder based on specific intent . The prosecutor explained that he had looked at the 1992 code the night before and realized for the first time that the crimes of "second degree kidnapping" and "cruelty to juveniles" were not enumerated felonies in the version of the felony-murder statute in effect at the time of Langley's alleged offense.11
The judge ultimately found Langley guilty of second degree murder. The ruling explicitly stated that "[t]he issue of specific intent ... is necessary for the determination of guilt," and found that the requisite specific intent was present. Langley's counsel renewed the Ashe objection in a post-trial motion, but the judge stood by his earlier ruling. The judge then imposed the mandatory sentence of life imprisonment without parole. See La. R.S. 14:30.1(B).
E
On direct appeal, the Louisiana Third Circuit Court of Appeal rejected Langley's Ashe claim on its merits. State v. Langley (Langley V) , 61 So.3d 747, 757-58 (La. Ct. App. 2011).12 The Third Circuit reasoned that the 2003 verdict had not "necessarily determined" the issue of specific intent because the jury might have chosen not to obey the judge's instructions. See id . The Louisiana Supreme Court declined review, 78 So.3d 139 (La. 2012) (mem.), as did the United States Supreme Court, 568 U.S. 841, 133 S.Ct. 148, 184 L.Ed.2d 73 (2012) (mem.).
Less than one year later, Langley pressed his Ashe claim in a federal habeas petition. See 28 U.S.C. § 2254. A magistrate judge issued a report and recommendation that the petition be denied. Langley v. Prince (Langley VI) , No. 13-cv-2780, 2015 WL 10635328 (W.D. La. Dec. 14, 2015). The magistrate judge disavowed the state court's reasoning, substituting her own reasoning instead. See id. at *8. According to the magistrate judge, Langley's Ashe claim failed because Langley *514had not shown that "a rational jury would not find that Langley acted with specific intent to kill." Id . The magistrate judge further reasoned that, because the jury rejected Langley's insanity defense, the jury could not have used evidence of Langley's mental illness to find a lack of specific intent. Id. Then, because the magistrate judge could "locate no other grounds within the record ... to support a finding of no specific intent," she concluded that the issue "was not necessarily determined." Id. The district court adopted the report and recommendation in full and dismissed Langley's petition. It did, however, issue a certificate of appealability, permitting our review.
II
Because the state court rejected Langley's Ashe claim on its merits, see Langley V , 61 So.3d at 757-58, Langley is not entitled to federal habeas relief unless that adjudication
resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States.
28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1).13 This standard "stops short of imposing a complete bar on federal-court relitigation of claims already rejected in state court proceedings," Harrington v. Richter , 562 U.S. 86, 102, 131 S.Ct. 770, 178 L.Ed.2d 624 (2011) -but it comes close. Review under § 2254(d)(1) must be "highly deferential" to the state court's decision, and must give that decision "the benefit of the doubt." Cullen v. Pinholster , 563 U.S. 170, 181, 131 S.Ct. 1388, 179 L.Ed.2d 557 (2011). The district court's application of § 2254(d)(1) is reviewed de novo. Williams v. Thaler , 684 F.3d 597, 603 (5th Cir. 2012).
For purposes of § 2254(d)(1), "clearly established Federal law" means "the governing legal principle or principles set forth by the Supreme Court at the time the state court render[ed] its decision." Lockyer v. Andrade , 538 U.S. 63, 71-72, 123 S.Ct. 1166, 155 L.Ed.2d 144 (2003). In other words, it includes the applicable Supreme Court holdings, but not "the dicta." Id. at 71, 123 S.Ct. 1166. Law may be clearly established by the Supreme Court even if the Court has not rendered a decision "on nearly identical facts"; rather, it is enough if Supreme Court holdings clearly establish "a general standard." Marshall v. Rodgers , 569 U.S. 58, 62, 133 S.Ct. 1446, 185 L.Ed.2d 540 (2013) (per curiam).
The "contrary to" and "unreasonable application" clauses, moreover, "have independent meaning." Bell v. Cone , 535 U.S. 685, 694, 122 S.Ct. 1843, 152 L.Ed.2d 914 (2002). The "contrary to" clause is met "if the state court applies a rule different from the governing law set forth in [Supreme Court] cases, or if it decides a case differently than [the Supreme Court] ha[s] done on a set of materially indistinguishable facts." Id. The "unreasonable application" clause, in turn, is met "if the state court identifies the correct governing legal rule" but "unreasonably applies it" to the facts of the case, or "if the state court either unreasonably extends a legal principle from [Supreme Court] precedent to a *515new context where it should not apply or unreasonably refuses to extend that principle to a new context where it should apply." Terry Williams v. Taylor , 529 U.S. 362, 407, 120 S.Ct. 1495, 146 L.Ed.2d 389 (2000).
"[A]n unreasonable application is different from an incorrect one." Bell , 535 U.S. at 694, 122 S.Ct. 1843. To be an "unreasonable application," the state court's error must have been "well understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any possibility for fair-minded disagreement." Richter , 562 U.S. at 108, 131 S.Ct. 770. And, under our circuit's interpretation of the "unreasonable application" clause, we review only the reasonableness of the state court's "ultimate legal conclusion," as distinct from the thoroughness or quality of its written opinion. Neal v. Puckett , 286 F.3d 230, 246 (5th Cir. 2002) (en banc) (per curiam).
Along these lines, our court has stated that review under § 2254(d)(1) encompasses not just the arguments and legal theories the state court's opinion actually gave, but also any arguments or legal theories the state court reasonably could have given. E.g. , Evans v. Davis , 875 F.3d 210, 216 (5th Cir. 2017) (citing Richter , 562 U.S. at 102, 131 S.Ct. 770 ); Clark v. Thaler , 673 F.3d 410, 418 (5th Cir. 2012) (same).14 Langley argues that the Supreme Court unequivocally rejected this approach in Wilson v. Sellers , --- U.S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 1188, 1191-92, 1194-96, 200 L.Ed.2d 530 (2018), issued after oral argument in this case.15 We leave Wilson 's impact to be decided another day. Because Langley is entitled to relief even under " Richter 's 'could have supported' framework," id. at 1195, we assume for the limited purpose of this appeal that, where the state court denies the petitioner's claim by issuing an opinion that rests on objectively unreasonable grounds, § 2254(d)(1) still bars relief unless the petitioner "show[s] there was no reasonable basis for the state court to deny relief," Richter , 562 U.S. at 98, 131 S.Ct. 770.
III
A
The "starting point" for our analysis is to identify the relevant Supreme Court precedent that was clearly established *516when the state court issued its opinion. Marshall , 569 U.S. at 61, 133 S.Ct. 1446. Here, that precedent is the Double Jeopardy Clause's issue-preclusion component, as set forth in Ashe v. Swenson , 397 U.S. 436, 443-46, 90 S.Ct. 1189, 25 L.Ed.2d 469 (1970), and related cases. The Ashe doctrine "precludes the Government from relitigating any issue that was necessarily decided by a jury's acquittal in a prior trial." Yeager v. United States , 557 U.S. 110, 119, 129 S.Ct. 2360, 174 L.Ed.2d 78 (2009).
The challenge, of course, is deciphering exactly which issues (if any) a jury's verdict "necessarily decided." The use of general verdict forms muddies the analysis, as general verdicts say little if anything about the jury's specific rationale. Brackett , 113 F.3d at 1398-99. But the Supreme Court in Ashe did not leave it to the states to crack this puzzle. Rather, it prescribed a specific solution: When the prior acquittal "was based upon a general verdict, as is usually the case," the reviewing court must
examine the record of prior proceeding, taking into account the pleadings, evidence, charge, and other relevant matter, and conclude whether a rational jury could have grounded its verdict upon an issue other than that which the defendant seeks to foreclose from consideration .
397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189 (emphasis added). In other words, the court must ask whether a rational jury could have returned the same verdict without deciding the relevant factual issue. See United States v. El-Mezain , 664 F.3d 467, 552-53 (5th Cir. 2011) (citing United States v. Leach , 632 F.2d 1337, 1340 (5th Cir. 1980) ). If not, that issue was "necessarily decided."
The facts of Ashe are illustrative. A group of masked men robbed six participants in a poker game. 397 U.S. at 437, 90 S.Ct. 1189. The state charged Bob Ashe with six separate counts of robbery-one for each player. Id. at 438, 90 S.Ct. 1189. At Ashe's trial for the robbery of poker player Donald Knight, however, the jury acquitted. Id. at 439, 90 S.Ct. 1189. The question was whether the state could proceed to try Ashe for the robberies of the other five players.
It could not. After announcing the test described above, the Supreme Court held that the jury had "determined by its verdict that [Ashe] was not one of the robbers." Id. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189. The jury instructions had stated in effect that the jury was required to find Ashe guilty if it found (1) that the alleged robbery had occurred; (2) that the robbers had taken "any money" from Knight; and (3) that Ashe had been one of the robbers, whether or not Ashe had personally taken the money. See id. at 439 & nn.2, 3, 90 S.Ct. 1189. At trial, the evidence that the alleged robbery took place and that the robbers had taken money from Knight was strong and undisputed. Id. at 438, 90 S.Ct. 1189. The evidence of the robbers' identities, on the other hand, was weak. Id . So the "single rationally conceivable" basis for the jury's acquittal was that the jury was not convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that Ashe had been one of the robbers. Id. at 445, 90 S.Ct. 1189. As a result, the state could not "hale him before a new jury to litigate that issue again." Id. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189.
Ashe and the Supreme Court cases applying it clearly establish the following relevant governing principles:
First , the subject of the Ashe inquiry is a hypothetical, objective, and rational jury-not the actual jurors in the room. The question is not what these particular jurors decided, but rather what a *517rational jury could have decided if faced with the trial record. That, after all, is what Ashe literally says. See 397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189 (test asks what "a rational jury could have" done); see also id. at 445, 90 S.Ct. 1189 (issue necessarily decided because it was "[t]he single rationally conceivable issue in dispute"). The Supreme Court has since reiterated that "what transpired in the jury room" is beside the point; the Ashe inquiry is "confined to the points in controversy on the former trial, to the testimony given by the parties, and to the questions submitted to the jury for their consideration." Yeager , 557 U.S. at 122, 129 S.Ct. 2360 (quoting Packet Co. v. Sickles , 72 U.S. (5 Wall.) 580, 593, 18 L.Ed. 550 (1866) ); see also, e.g. , United States v. Powell , 469 U.S. 57, 67, 105 S.Ct. 471, 83 L.Ed.2d 461 (1984) ("Courts have always resisted inquiring into a jury's thought processes ...."); Garcia v. Dretke , 388 F.3d 496, 503-04 (5th Cir. 2004) (understanding Ashe to clearly establish for purposes of § 2254(d)(1) that "[o]ur inquiry into the potential rationale of the first jury ... must stay within the bounds of a rational[ ] inquiry").
Second , and as a corollary, Ashe is in fact "predicated on the assumption that the jury acted rationally." Powell , 469 U.S. at 68, 105 S.Ct. 471 (emphasis added). Thus, when the first jury returns "irreconcilably inconsistent" verdicts-meaning verdicts that acquit on one count while convicting on another, where the two counts require opposite resolutions of the same issue of ultimate fact- Ashe no longer applies. Bravo-Fernandez v. United States , --- U.S. ----, 137 S.Ct. 352, 356-57, 196 L.Ed.2d 242 (2016) (construing Powell , 469 U.S. at 68, 105 S.Ct. 471 ). But so long as the jury's verdicts are not "on their face ... logically inconsistent," Ashe still controls: the court must "respect ... the legitimacy" of the verdicts and assume the jury rational. Yeager , 557 U.S. at 124-25, 129 S.Ct. 2360 ; see also id. at 134, 129 S.Ct. 2360 (Alito, J., dissenting) (agreeing that "courts should begin with the presumption that a jury's actions can rationally be reconciled").
Third , Ashe itself establishes that the court must assume the hypothetical jury believed any "substantial and uncontradicted evidence of the prosecution on a point the defendant did not contest." 397 U.S. at 444 n.9, 90 S.Ct. 1189. Otherwise, the Supreme Court explained, issue preclusion would never apply, "since it is impossible to imagine a statutory offense in which the government has to prove only one element or issue to sustain a conviction." Id . This principle was essential to Ashe 's holding. Without it, the issues whether the robbery occurred at all and whether any money was taken from Knight would have been additional "rationally conceivable issue[s] in dispute" that would have foreclosed relief. See id. at 445, 90 S.Ct. 1189.
Fourth and finally, a court applying Ashe must assume that the jury-being a rational one-followed its jury instructions. This principle is implicit in the concept of a rational jury and in the Supreme Court's reasoning in Ashe . See, e.g. , United States v. Tran , 433 Fed.Appx. 227, 231 (5th Cir. 2011) (understanding Ashe 's use of the phrase "rational jury" to mean a jury that obeys its instructions). And the Supreme Court made that principle explicit when it decided Turner v. Arkansas , 407 U.S. 366, 92 S.Ct. 2096, 32 L.Ed.2d 798 (1972) (per curiam).
In Turner , the state had tried Dennis Turner for first degree murder on theories of premeditated murder and felony-murder committed in the course of a robbery. Id. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096. After the jury acquitted on both theories, the state re-indicted him for the robbery itself.
*518Id. at 367, 92 S.Ct. 2096. Turner argued that the acquittal had necessarily decided that he did not commit the robbery. Id. at 368, 92 S.Ct. 2096. The state countered that a rational jury could have found that Turner did commit the robbery but that he had let his partner do the killing. Id. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096.
The Supreme Court rejected the state's argument as "belied by the actual instructions given the jury." Id. Those instructions had stated that "[a]ll persons being present ... in any felony, shall be deemed principal offenders." Id. Thus, the Supreme Court said, "[h]ad the jury found [Turner] present at the crime scene, it would have been obligated to return a verdict of guilty of murder even if he had not actually pulled the trigger." Id. "The only logical conclusion," the Court held, "is that the jury found him not present at the scene of the murder and robbery." Id. The case was "thus squarely controlled by Ashe ," necessitating the indictment's dismissal. Id. at 370, 92 S.Ct. 2096.
Supreme Court precedent, accordingly, clearly establishes that the Ashe doctrine incorporates the understanding (ubiquitous in law) that rational juries obey their instructions. See also, e.g. , Powell , 469 U.S. at 66-67, 105 S.Ct. 471 (jurors generally assumed to follow the law as charged); Opper v. United States , 348 U.S. 84, 95, 75 S.Ct. 158, 99 L.Ed. 101 (1954) ("Our theory of trial relies upon the ability of a jury to follow instructions.").
Thus explicated by the Supreme Court, Ashe analysis is often not difficult. When the trial record contains multiple disputed factual issues, any subset of which could independently justify the jury's verdict, there can be no issue preclusion. E.g. , Garcia , 388 F.3d at 501-02 (citing United States v. Irvin , 787 F.2d 1506, 1515-16 (11th Cir. 1986) ).16 But in the rare instance in which there is just a "single rationally conceivable issue in dispute before the jury," Ashe , 397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189, issue preclusion attaches.17
Our opinion in United States v. Brackett , 113 F.3d 1396 (5th Cir. 1997), for example, shows just how simple the Ashe inquiry can be.18 George Brackett had been tried for possession of marijuana with intent to distribute. Id. at 1397. "At trial, he did not contest the fact that he had been in possession" of marijuana. To the contrary, *519"the prosecution and the defense both acknowledged that mens rea was the only disputed issue for the jury." Id. The jury acquitted. Id. Our analysis of what that acquittal "necessarily decided," therefore, was appropriately straightforward. We explained:
It is not difficult to discern the facts "necessarily decided" by the jury in the first trial. Brackett did not deny that he was in possession of 247 kilograms of marihuana when arrested, nor did he contest the physical evidence and eyewitness testimony. To the contrary, he freely conceded all the facts relevant to the actus reus and staked his defense exclusively on the question of mens rea .
Insisting that he had no knowledge of the marihuana, Brackett characterized himself as an innocent driver who had been used as an unwitting drug courier by drug smugglers, and the jury apparently believed him. Under these circumstances, there is only one rational explanation for the general verdict of acquittal : The government did not prove, beyond a reasonable doubt, that Brackett knew of the 247 kilograms of marihuana in his truck on September 18, 1992. Accordingly, the jury "necessarily decided" ... that Brackett did not knowingly possess marihuana with intent to distribute on that date.19
Id. at 1399 (emphasis added). Likewise, in Green v. Estelle , 601 F.2d 877 (5th Cir. 1979), a jury acquitted Roy Green of murder "with malice" but convicted him of murder "without malice." Id. at 877. The jury instructions permitted that result only if the jury "f[ound] [Green] guilty of murder" while still "hav[ing] reasonable doubt that [he] ... acted with malice." Id. at 878. These verdicts, coupled with Ashe 's presupposition of a rational jury, "[necessarily] determined the malice issue in Green's favor." Id. ; see also id. at 878-79 & n.4 (emphasizing that Ashe requires the assumption that the jury followed its instructions). As explained below, Langley's Ashe claim is similarly straightforward.
B
Here, Langley contends that the 2003 jury verdict necessarily determined that he lacked the specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm at the moment he killed J.G. To resolve his claim, we must consider the record from the 2003 trial and ask: Could a rational jury have returned this same verdict without deciding that the State failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley had specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm? See Ashe , 397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189.20 Given the above-recited principles of clearly established Supreme Court law, the answer can only be "no." The issue of *520Langley's specific intent was necessarily decided.
The jury instructions required the jury to return a verdict of "guilty [of first degree murder]" if all four of the following conditions were met:
(1) The jury found beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley killed J.G.;
(2) The jury found beyond a reasonable doubt that J.G. was less than twelve years old;
(3) The jury found beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley acted with specific intent to kill to or inflict great bodily harm; and
(4) The jury failed to find by a preponderance of the evidence that Langley was insane at the time of the offense.
But the jury did not return a verdict of "guilty [of first degree murder]." Because Ashe requires us to assume that the jury acted rationally and obeyed the judge's instructions, the jury rationally must have failed to make at least one of these four findings.
We know, however, that the jury rationally did make findings (1) and (2). Like Brackett, Langley "freely conceded all the facts relevant to the actus reus ." 113 F.3d at 1399. He confessed to the killing, and his lawyers repeatedly told the jury that they "had never from the very beginning even suggested that [Langley] was not the cause of [J.G.]'s death." Nor could there have been any doubt that the victim was under twelve. The defense repeatedly acknowledged to the jury that J.G. was six years old when he died. Under Ashe , therefore, the court must assume that a rational jury would have found these two elements established beyond a reasonable doubt. See 397 U.S. at 444 n.9, 90 S.Ct. 1189.
We also know the jury rationally must have fulfilled condition (4). We know this because the jury instructions stated that, if the jury found by a preponderance of the evidence that Langley was insane at the relevant time, the jury was required to return a verdict of "not guilty by reason of insanity." But the jury did not return such a verdict. So, again, given our assumption that the jury acted rationally, and given that a rational jury obeys both the rules of logic and the judge's instructions, the jury rationally could not have based its verdict on Langley's putative insanity defense.
"The only logical conclusion," Turner , 407 U.S. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096, is that the jury failed to make finding (3)-that is, failed to find beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley acted with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. Any other result would be irrational or contravene the judge's instructions.21 Ashe 's test is therefore satisfied: "[no] rational jury could have grounded its verdict upon an issue other than" that of Langley's specific intent. 397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189. As in Ashe , therefore, the Double Jeopardy Clause prohibits the State from "hal[ing]" Langley into court "to litigate that issue again." Id. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189. Because that is what the State proceeded to do, see supra p. 513-14, Langley's 2009 conviction was unconstitutional under any reasonable application of the Supreme Court's clearly established principles of the Ashe v. Swenson doctrine.
*521Langley is therefore entitled to federal habeas relief.
IV
The state court's opinion, the federal magistrate judge's opinion, and the State's arguments on appeal all purport to articulate reasonable grounds on which the state court could have based its denial of Langley's Ashe claim. But because we have just deemed Langley's conviction invalid under any reasonable application of Ashe , it follows that these proffered, conflicting rationales must themselves be contrary or unreasonable under the § 2254(d)(1) standard. Our analysis could end here. Nonetheless, out of an abundance of caution, we pause to confirm that none of the proffered rationales could have "otherwise justif[ied] the state court's result." Richter , 562 U.S. at 102, 131 S.Ct. 770.22
A
The state court rejected Langley's Ashe claim because, although it regarded insufficient evidence of intent as one possible basis for the jury's verdict, it could imagine two other possibilities, as well. See Langley V , 61 So.3d at 757. The first additional possibility was "that the jury convicted the defendant of specific intent second degree murder" under La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1). Id. The second additional possibility was "that, given the nature of the case, the verdict was, in fact, a compromise verdict." Id. Neither possibility is reasonably valid under Ashe .23
1
To start, it was objectively unreasonable for the state court to conclude that a rational jury could have "convicted [Langley] of specific intent second degree murder" in light of Langley's concessions. Like in Turner , that theory "is belied by the actual instructions given the jury." 407 U.S. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096. As explained above, the trial judge instructed that the verdict "should be 'guilty [of first degree murder]' " if the jury rejected Langley's insanity defense and found beyond a reasonable doubt that (1) Langley killed J.G., (2) Langley had specific intent to kill or inflict great bodily harm, and (3) J.G. was under twelve. See La. R.S. 14:30(A)(5). A rational *522jury, however, must have rejected the insanity defense (given that it failed to return an insanity verdict), and must have found that Langley killed J.G. and that J.G. was under twelve (the uncontested issues). See Ashe , 397 U.S. at 444 & n.9, 90 S.Ct. 1189. Thus, if the jury had found that Langley had specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm-as the state court suggested the jury rationally might have done-the jury "would have been obligated to return a verdict of guilty of [first degree] murder," not second. Turner , 407 U.S. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096. So no rational jury could have taken the path the state court's opinion proposes.24
2
It was also objectively unreasonable for the state court to conclude that a rational jury could have returned a "compromise verdict"-that is, could have based its verdict not on the judge's instructions, but on the jurors' negotiated preferences as to the proper outcome in the case.25 This possibility, too, contravenes the clearly established rule that, under the Ashe doctrine, rational juries are assumed to follow the law as instructed. See, e.g. , Turner , 407 U.S. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096.
In fact, as early as 1979, our court held that the Supreme Court in Ashe "[c]learly ... intended" that the risk of jury nullification in the form of a "mercy verdict" could not justify denying an Ashe v. Swenson claim. See Green , 601 F.2d at 878-79 & n.4 (holding that acquittal of murder "with malice," paired with simultaneous conviction for murder "without malice," necessarily decided the issue of the defendant's intent). As we then explained, the assertion that the jury's verdict could have resulted from the exercise of mercy, as opposed to the judge's instructions, "could be made about any ultimate issue of fact decided by a jury." Id. If that possibility sufficed to defeat an Ashe claim, we said, no court "could [ ]ever apply the principle of [issue preclusion]," even on the facts of Ashe itself. Id. at 878-79 & n.4. We thus held:
Clearly, this is not what the Supreme Court intended when it held that the principle [of issue preclusion] is a part of the Double Jeopardy Clause. We must take the jury at its word , and in this case, its word shows that in the first murder trial it decided the issue of malice in [the defendant's] favor.
Id. at 879 (citation omitted) (emphasis added). Our cases repeatedly have reiterated this holding.26 Other circuits unanimously agree.27
*523These circuit-level cases, of course, cannot themselves establish that this principle was "clearly established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court"; Ashe and Turner are necessary (and sufficient) to do that. See supra pp. 517-19 (explaining that Ashe and Turner clearly established that rational juries obey their instructions). These cases merely confirm that Ashe and Turner are understood to mean what they said: that the Ashe doctrine presupposes a rational jury, and presupposes that rational juries return verdicts based on the facts and the law. We hold that this law was clearly established by the Supreme Court in Ashe and Turner well before the state court issued its 2011 opinion, and we further hold that the state court's disregard for this law constituted an objectively unreasonable application of Ashe .
B
The district court adopted in full the magistrate judge's opinion, which rejected Langley's Ashe claim for different reasons. See Langley VI , 2015 WL 10635328, at *8-9. Unlike the state court, the magistrate judge correctly refused to consider the possibility of " 'mistake, compromise, or lenity' on the part of the jury." Id. at *8 (quoting Powell , 469 U.S. at 65, 105 S.Ct. 471 ). Instead, the magistrate judge went on to provide her own, independent analysis as to why Langley's Ashe claim fails. See id. at *8-9.28 That analysis, too, failed *524reasonably to apply clearly established Supreme Court precedent.29
1
The central problem with the magistrate judge's reasoning is that it asked the wrong question. As explained (at length) above, Ashe requires courts to determine whether it is rationally possible for the jury to have yielded the verdict it did without deciding the relevant factual issue. See, e.g. , 397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189 ; El-Mezain , 664 F.3d at 552-53. The magistrate judge's opinion, however, failed to undertake that analysis. Instead, it appears to have asked a wholly different question: whether sufficient evidence existed to justify acquitting Langley of first degree murder. In other words, the magistrate judge sat as a thirteenth juror, evaluated for herself the strength of the evidence, and concluded that any rational jury would have found Langley guilty of first degree murder. The magistrate judge then used her disagreement with the verdict as a basis for depriving the jury's acquittal of double jeopardy effect. See Langley VI , 2015 WL 10635328, at *8-9 (rejecting Langley's Ashe claim because, disregarding the substantial evidence of Langley's mental illness which the magistrate judge refused to consider, "no ... grounds ... support a finding of no specific intent").30 In short, instead of performing an Ashe analysis of the kind prescribed by the Supreme Court, the magistrate judge appears to have assessed whether the Louisiana prosecutors were entitled to judgment as a matter of law. Cf. Fed. R. Civ. P. 50(a).
Not only did the magistrate judge fail to apply the test mandated by Ashe , the test it did apply cannot be reconciled with "[p]erhaps the most fundamental rule in the history of double jeopardy jurisprudence": the rule that an acquittal-even one based on egregious legal or factual error-is absolutely conclusive. United States v. Martin Linen Supply Co. , 430 U.S. 564, 571, 97 S.Ct. 1349, 51 L.Ed.2d 642 (1977) (citing United States v. Ball , 163 U.S. 662, 671, 16 S.Ct. 1192, 41 L.Ed. 300 (1896) ); accord, e.g. , DiFrancesco , 449 U.S. at 129-30, 101 S.Ct. 426 ; Fong Foo , 369 U.S. at 143, 82 S.Ct. 671 ; Green , 355 U.S. at 188, 78 S.Ct. 221. If the Double Jeopardy Clause means anything, it means that the government, having failed to persuade one factfinder, is constitutionally prohibited from attempting "a second bite at the apple." Burks , 437 U.S. at 16, 98 S.Ct. 2141 ; see also, e.g. , Green , 355 U.S. at 187-88, 78 S.Ct. 221. And double jeopardy issue preclusion "is constitutionally no different." Ashe , 397 U.S. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189. As the Supreme Court's Ashe cases have explained: "A jury's verdict of acquittal represents the community's collective judgment regarding all the evidence and arguments presented to it. Even if the *525verdict is 'based upon an egregiously erroneous foundation,' its finality is unassailable." Yeager , 557 U.S. at 122-23, 129 S.Ct. 2360 (quoting Fong Foo , 369 U.S. at 143, 82 S.Ct. 671 ); accord Powell , 469 U.S. at 67, 105 S.Ct. 471 ; Ashe , 397 U.S. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189. This clearly established finality doctrine leaves no room for courts "to second-guess the soundness of [the jury's] verdict." Yeager , 557 U.S. at 125, 129 S.Ct. 2360.
There is, of course, an exception to the Ashe rule, applicable only if the jury returns verdicts that are "on their face ... logically inconsistent." Yeager , 557 U.S. at 125, 129 S.Ct. 2360 (construing Powell , 469 U.S. at 68, 105 S.Ct. 471 ); accord Bravo-Fernandez , 137 S.Ct. at 356-57, 359-60 (same). But no one has ever argued that this exception applies here.31 Indeed, it does not: there is no inconsistency in finding that, although Langley killed J.G. while committing or attempting the crimes of second degree kidnapping or cruelty to juveniles, his mental illness prevented him from forming the specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm.32 Given such findings, the judge's instructions would have compelled a rational jury to acquit on first degree murder, see La. R.S. 14:30(A)(1), (5), but to convict on second degree murder, see id. 14:30.1(A)(2). That is what Langley's defense attorneys asked the jury to do. And it is what the jury did. So Langley, like Ashe, is entitled to constitutional protection: "Once a jury had determined upon conflicting testimony that there was at least a reasonable doubt that [Langley had the requisite specific intent], the State could not present the same or different ... evidence in a second prosecution ... in the hope that a different [factfinder] might find that evidence more convincing." Ashe , 397 U.S. at 446, 90 S.Ct. 1189.
Because the magistrate judge failed to apply the rule of decision mandated by Ashe , and instead applied a novel interpretation of the Double Jeopardy Clause that contradicts Supreme Court holdings, the magistrate judge's opinion, adopted in full by the district court, was "contrary to" clearly established Supreme Court precedent. See Bell , 535 U.S. at 694, 122 S.Ct. 1843. The opinion thus cannot supply a reasonable basis for "the state court's result." Richter , 562 U.S. at 102, 131 S.Ct. 770.
2
Even accepting the magistrate judge's erroneous view that an acquittal is undeserving of double jeopardy effect unless supported by affirmative evidence, that standard is still met here. The magistrate judge concluded otherwise only because it unreasonably refused to consider the evidence of Langley's mental illness-thereby ignoring Langley's entire case-in-chief, which the jury was within its rights to credit.
The magistrate judge began from the premise that Langley's trial counsel based their arguments regarding specific intent and insanity on the same factual contention: that Langley was suffering from severe mental illness at the time he killed J.G.33 See *526Langley VI , 2015 WL 10635328 at *8. The magistrate judge then reasoned that, because the jury rejected Langley's insanity defense, it must also have rejected the defense's theory that mental illness prevented Langley from forming the requisite intent. See id.
But this reasoning suffers from at least two independent errors of logic. For one, it erroneously conflates the standards for specific intent and insanity. Per the jury instructions, Langley had the requisite specific intent if he "actively desired the prescribed criminal consequences to follow his act or failure to act." By contrast, the instructions deemed him "insane" if "because of his mental disease or mental defect [he] was incapable of distinguishing between right and wrong with respect to the conduct in question." These standards are distinct. It would not have been irrational for the jury to find that Langley's mental illness was of a kind that, for example, left him not in control of his actions but still preserved his sense of right and wrong. In such a case, Langley would have been unable to stop himself from killing J.G. despite not actively desiring it (i.e., despite having no specific intent), and despite knowing that it was wrong (i.e., despite not being insane). The magistrate judge was wrong to consider such a finding logically impossible.
The magistrate judge's reasoning also overlooks that specific intent and insanity are subject to different standards of proof. Per the jury instructions, the State had to prove specific intent beyond a reasonable doubt, but Langley merely had to prove insanity by a preponderance of the evidence. Thus, for example, there would be nothing inconsistent about a jury (1) finding by a preponderance of the evidence that Langley's mental illness impaired neither his ability to form specific intent nor his ability to distinguish right from wrong (leading the jury to reject the insanity defense); and (2) simultaneously failing to make the same finding beyond a reasonable doubt (leading the jury to acquit for insufficient evidence of intent). This error is "well understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any possibility for fair-minded disagreement." Richter , 562 U.S. at 108, 131 S.Ct. 770 ; see, e.g. , Dowling v. United States , 493 U.S. 342, 348-49, 110 S.Ct. 668, 107 L.Ed.2d 708 (1990) (explaining in the course of an Ashe analysis that "a jury might reasonably conclude [by a preponderance of the evidence] that Dowling was the masked man who entered Henry's home, even if it did not believe [the same fact] beyond a reasonable doubt"). So not only did the magistrate judge apply a test that was "contrary to" Ashe , it applied that test in an unreasonable manner, as well. See 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1). For this reason, too, the magistrate judge's opinion is not a barrier to Langley's habeas relief.
C
The State puts forward additional arguments it says "could have supported the state court's decision." Richter , 562 U.S. at 102, 131 S.Ct. 770. Some of these arguments merely reiterate the state court and magistrate judge opinions, and to that extent need not be re-examined here.34 But *527the State also offers its own, new justifications that, if reasonably correct, would foreclose relief. See supra p. 515. None of the State's arguments meets that standard.
1
The State's first argument addresses the jurors' subjective mindsets. The State cites the 2003 trial judge's description of his post-trial, off-record, ex parte communications with the jurors, some of whom apparently told him "that the death penalty would be inappropriate." This evidence, the State suggests, "corroborate[s]" its theory that the jurors acquitted Langley not because the State failed to carry its burden of proof with respect to specific intent, but rather because the jury "did not want to impose the death penalty." Appellee Br. at 11-12.
Whatever the accuracy of the State's proposed factual inference,35 it cannot defeat an Ashe claim because it has nothing to do with Ashe . As already explained, Ashe clearly establishes that the inquiry is objective. The question is not why these jurors returned the verdict that they did, but rather "whether a rational jury could have grounded its verdict upon an issue other than" that of Langley's specific intent. 397 U.S. at 444-45, 90 S.Ct. 1189 ; accord, e.g. , Yeager , 557 U.S. at 122 & n.6, 129 S.Ct. 2360 ; Powell , 469 U.S. at 66-67, 105 S.Ct. 471. So any post-trial statements from these jurors regarding their own subjective decisionmaking are beside the point. Cf. Yeager , 557 U.S. at 121, 129 S.Ct. 2360 ("[A] jury speaks only through its verdict."). If a court were to accept the State's invitation to consider these jurors' subjective motivations instead of undertaking the rational-jury inquiry mandated by Ashe , that court would be "appl[ying] a rule different from the governing law set forth in [the Ashe line of] cases." Bell , 535 U.S. at 694, 122 S.Ct. 1843.
2
The State next emphasizes "that the jury in the [2003] trial was instructed that second degree murder could be with or without specific intent." Appellee Br. at 12. Reading this argument charitably, we take the State to be referring to a misstatement the judge made during the oral jury instructions. In defining specific-intent second degree murder under La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1), the judge said the crime could be committed "with or without specific intent to kill or inflict great bodily harm" (emphasis added), effectively deleting the mens rea requirement.36 If the jury *528caught the judge's slip and took the instructions literally, it would have been required to find Langley guilty of second degree murder based solely on the concession that Langley caused J.G.'s death.37
Even so, we fail to see how the judge's instructional error could reasonably be held to affect whether the jury's verdict "necessarily determined" the specific-intent issue. That Ashe analysis turns on the jury's failure to convict Langley of first degree murder-a crime the instructions consistently defined as requiring proof of specific intent. Because Langley's specific intent was the only disputed issue relevant to first degree murder under La. R.S. 14:30(A)(5), and because the jury failed to convict Langley of that crime, the only reasonable conclusion is that the issue of specific intent was "necessarily determined." See supra Part III-B. The erroneous instruction for specific-intent second degree murder just does not enter the picture.
3
The State next accuses Langley of an unduly "rigid reading of the law." Appellee Br. at 13-14. Granting him relief, the State says, would contravene the admonition in Ashe that:
[The Ashe doctrine] is not to be applied with the hyper-technical and archaic approach of a 19th century pleading book, but with realism and rationality. ... The inquiry "must be set in a practical frame and viewed with an eye to all the circumstances of the proceedings." Any test more technically restrictive would, of course, simply amount to a rejection of the rule of [issue preclusion] in criminal proceedings ....
397 U.S. at 444, 90 S.Ct. 1189 (quoting Sealfon v. United States , 332 U.S. 575, 579, 68 S.Ct. 237, 92 L.Ed. 180 (1948) ).
It is difficult to know what the State understands this passage in Ashe to mean. By its own terms, the passage operates only to make issue preclusion more available -as opposed to "more technically restrictive." It reminds courts not to reject Ashe claims for overly technical reasons. See also Sealfon , 332 U.S. at 579, 68 S.Ct. 237 (finding issue preclusion notwithstanding the government's cramped reading of what was technically before the jury). In any event, our disposition of Langley's appeal never relies on the above-quoted language from Ashe , and never rejects potential arguments supporting the state court's decision on the grounds that those arguments are too "technical" or "unrealistic."
To the extent the State means to argue that this passage somehow precludes us from applying basic rules of logic in assessing *529Langley's Ashe claim, that argument is untenable. See, e.g. , Turner , 407 U.S. at 369, 92 S.Ct. 2096 (using "logical" inferences to determine "what issues a general verdict of acquittal at the murder trial resolved"). Even in § 2254(d) cases, our Ashe analysis "must stay within the bounds of a rational[ ] inquiry." Garcia , 388 F.3d at 504.
4
The State further asserts that Langley has no double jeopardy rights stemming from his 2003 trial because, according to the State, that trial "was declared a structural nullity." Appellee Br. at 14. True, the Louisiana Third Circuit Court of Appeal stated in Langley III that the procedural errors in the 2003 trial rendered the verdict "an absolute nullity," and on that basis opined that the State could re-prosecute Langley even for first degree capital murder. See 896 So.2d at 210-12. But that holding was objectively inconsistent with clearly established federal law, see, e.g. , Fong Foo , 369 U.S. at 143, 82 S.Ct. 671 ; Green , 355 U.S. at 189-90, 78 S.Ct. 221, and it was in any event overruled by the Louisiana Supreme Court, see Langley IV , 958 So.2d at 1170. Nothing in Langley III provides a reasonable basis for rejecting Langley's Ashe claim.
Relatedly, the State observes that "[t]he Louisiana Supreme Court held [in Langley IV ] that double jeopardy barred [Langley's] retrial for first degree murder, not second degree murder, and based its decision on federal constitutional law." Appellee Br. at 14. That sentence is true in part. As explained above, after the 2003 trial, the State attempted to re-prosecute Langley for first degree murder. See supra Part I-C. The Louisiana Supreme Court held that it could not, on the ground that Langley had already been acquitted of that crime. See Langley IV , 958 So.2d at 1169-70 (applying state law and arguably federal law as well). The Louisiana Supreme Court also stated that its holding did not prevent the State from re-prosecuting Langley for second degree murder as a general matter. See id. at 1170-71.38 But the Louisiana Supreme Court did not consider the separate question whether, under the Double Jeopardy Clause's issue preclusion component as defined in Ashe , the 2003 verdict necessarily determined that Langley lacked specific intent to kill or inflict great bodily harm. Indeed, Langley did not raise that argument until his present-day counsel began to represent him on remand from Langley IV .39
We therefore fail to see the relevance of Langley IV to the present case. The Louisiana Supreme Court's silence with respect to a federal constitutional claim not raised by the parties before it says nothing about *530whether the Louisiana Third Circuit Court of Appeal reasonably rejected that claim on the merits four years later in Langley V . This observation by the State has no bearing on Langley's habeas petition.
5
At oral argument, the State relied primarily on a new argument not developed in its brief. See Oral Arg. at 18:38-21:58, 24:58-28:05, 34:01-34:26. According to the State, because Langley's counsel at the 2003 trial "never conceded second degree kidnapping," id. at 19:09-19:11, "there was still a valid first degree murder charge" using the second-degree-kidnapping aggravator in La. R.S. 14:30(A)(1), id. at 20:51-20:58. Thus, the State's argument seems to go, the jury rationally could have acquitted Langley of first degree murder based on a failure to prove second degree kidnapping, rather than a failure to prove specific intent.
This argument fails as a matter of logic. It is of course true that if the State failed to convince the jury that Langley was committing or attempting second degree kidnapping, the jury was obligated to reject the prosecution's first-degree-murder theory under La. R.S. 14:30(A)(1). But as described above, the State proceeded on two alternative first-degree-murder theories: either that Langley was committing or attempting second degree kidnapping, see La. R.S. 14:30(A)(1) ; or that J.G. was under twelve years old, see id. 14:30(A)(5). Proof of either theory would have necessitated a first-degree-murder conviction. Because the jury did not convict Langley of first degree murder, it rationally must have rejected both theories. And the "single rationally conceivable issue in dispute" with respect to the theory based on La. R.S. 14:30(A)(5) was whether the State proved beyond a reasonable doubt that Langley acted with specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm. Ashe , 397 U.S. at 445, 90 S.Ct. 1189 ; see supra Part III-B. So the issue of Langley's specific intent was "necessarily decided," the State's arguments notwithstanding.
D
Finally, having rejected the arguments put forth by the state court, the magistrate judge, and the State's attorneys, we come to the question whether we ourselves can "imagine any possible reasonable analysis [under Ashe ] that could support the state appeals court's decision." Evans , 875 F.3d at 217 n.4 (quoting Salts v. Epps , 676 F.3d 468, 479 (5th Cir. 2012) ).
It is not our usual practice to craft arguments for the parties or to conjure legal theories no litigant or jurist has raised. See, e.g. , Greenlaw v. United States , 554 U.S. 237, 243, 128 S.Ct. 2559, 171 L.Ed.2d 399 (2008) (explaining that "our adversary system ... rel[ies] on the parties to frame the issues for decision and assign[s] to courts the role of neutral arbiter of matters the parties present"); Day v. McDonough , 547 U.S. 198, 210, 126 S.Ct. 1675, 164 L.Ed.2d 376 (2006) (confirming that federal habeas courts "surely have no obligation to assist attorneys representing the State").40
*531Nevertheless, we take this opportunity to report that our own independent analysis of this tragic case, several times reversibly mishandled by state judges, see generally supra Part I, has revealed no reasonable application of the Ashe doctrine the state court could have used to reject Langley's claim. We can only conclude that Langley has demonstrated that his case satisfies the criteria set forth in § 2254(d)(1), allowing the writ to issue. "Although we do not relish adding a new chapter to this [terribly] unfortunate story," the federal habeas statute and the Double Jeopardy Clause "afford[ ] [Langley] a right to relief." Reed v. Quarterman , 555 F.3d 364, 382 (5th Cir. 2009).
V
The State of Louisiana is constitutionally prohibited from charging Langley with any crime having as an essential element proof beyond a reasonable doubt of Langley's specific intent to kill or to inflict great bodily harm at the moment he killed J.G. Nothing we say today prevents the State from charging Langley with crimes that do not have such proof as an essential element. Langley's 2009 conviction for specific-intent second degree murder under La. R.S. 14:30.1(A)(1), however, cannot stand.
The district court's judgment is REVERSED, and this case is REMANDED with instructions to grant Langley's petition for a writ of habeas corpus and to take any further appropriate action.